Wisconsin is working on it again. The April 1st state Supreme Court election could ultimately curtail control over Democrats in the future mid-2026.
A contest between liberal candidate Susan Crawford, a technically independent race, and conservative candidate Brad Simel could lead to redrawing the state's Congressional map into something more Democrat-friendly.
Numbers
Written by federalist, researcher and election expert Jacob Grandstaff, he says that if Crawford wins, Republicans are likely to lose two Wisconsin Legislature seats in the middle of 2026. Grandstaff says he will only tweak the state's congressional map to bring control to Democrats in 2026.
2024, R-Wis. Rep. Brian Style won the First Congressional District with 40,000 votes. R-Wis. Derrick Van Orden of the MP won the Third Congressional District with just 11,000 votes. It will simply rebuild District 1 into Milwaukee and part of District 3 and turn it into parts of Dane County into a non-competitive, safe Democrat district.
Republicans have a slim majority between 218-213. The four vacant seats that require special elections are located in evenly divided, safe districts, which could bring Republican benefits to 220-215. But Republicans will retain a razor-thin 219-216 majority if Democrats defeat an upset victory in the special election for the New York District 21 after GOP MP Elise Stefanik opens her seat. By handing Wisconsin's 1st and 3rd Congressional Districts to Democrats through district changes, you'll get a nearly automatic one-seat majority before someone votes in 2026.
Grandstaff points to the changes in the legislative map that came after liberal justice Janet Protasiewicz defeated conservative Daniel Kelly in 2023 to show what happens on the Congressional map.
Redraw the line
After Protasiewicz's victory, Democrats quickly began redrawing the legislative maps of Wisconsin, as predicted. Republicans accepted a map created by Democratic Gov. Tony Evers as new left-leaning courts threatened to choose their own, and even worse, maps. Evers' maps allowed Democrats to win 14 legislative seats in 2024 and potentially gain full chamber control in 2026. Protasiewicz's victory also overturned Wisconsin's short-lived ban on voting dropboxes.
However, if Simel wins, Republicans could move to redraw Wisconsin's legislative map. According to the New York Times, “Edith Jorge Tunine, president of the Republican State Leadership Committee, which supports state legislative candidates, wrote a note to the donor this month that if Justice Simel wins in April, Wisconsin's legislative district change could be rescinded by a new conservative majority.”
Crawford has not commented on the issue despite her recent attendance on a call focusing on the issue. She appeared in Donor Advisory Call, set up by Focus, a liberal nonprofit for democracy. The subject of Call's email invitation read “Challenge to play two more house sheets in 2026”.
Crawford's campaign admitted she was on the phone but insisted she would not talk about the council's maps. She said she only gave her a biography about herself and seemed to be talking about why she was running. Furthermore, regarding the subject, she said:
Well, I don't think the emails sent are frankly the right way to announce judicial candidates. …I didn't see the email or the way I was being charged before I joined.
The race is expected to be much more expensive than the $56 million Protasiewicz-Kelly race.
External influence
On Monday, Crawford's campaign announced that it raised more than $17 million between February 4th and March 17th, and totaled $24 million since she began the run. Some of Crawford's donors include “philanthropist” George Soros, Illinois Gov. JB Pretzker, LinkedIn founder Reed Hoffman, and even actor Kevin Bacon. Financial declaration reports show that many outsiders are putting their money into liberal justice sources. Schimel spokesman Jacob Fish added Crawford's latest report shows that 80% of her donors are from outside of Wisconsin, indicating that she is “running purely for the benefit of the National Democrats.”
As for Shimmel, he raised $14.3 million since joining the race. It's $8.8 million from the state's GOP. But Democrats are trying to connect him to the latest Boogeyman, the left, which is used to mobilize displaced Democrat voters. Elon Musk gave the state Democrats $3 million, but according to reports he reduced the total by $19 million with Schimel's overall support. Musk's Super PAC, the US PAC, spent $11.5 million on digital advertising, mailers, text, field operations and voters.
The state Democratic chairman called Shimmel the “latest pawn” of the mask. Crawford accused Musk of trying to buy a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court and defended outside support as a benevolent national crusade to stop “Eron Simmell” from purchasing the race.
Simel also faces criticism for his comments on March 18th while appearing on a conservative radio show hosted by Jay Weber. He encouraged supporters, “We're too big to put our votes in the bank and make this a rig, so at 11:30 in Milwaukee, we don't have to worry about finding a bag of votes they forgot to put into the machine.” He referenced the experience of former US Senate candidate Eric Hoffde when Milwaukee reported a handy, large vote for Tammy Baldwin, and then he went all night long just to lose.
The official explanation is that Milwaukee election officials have reported that even before the race, the votes are delayed by a massive influx of Democrats votes. Mainstream media continues to this day, with Wisconsin candidates who appear to be skeptical of the state's voting infrastructure claiming they are pushing for “unfounded claims.” However, the evidence shows the opposite.
Irregularity of elections
In early 2024, New American interviewed former Wisconsin Supreme Court Judge Michael Gableman, who investigated the 2020 presidential election. He released two reports on his discoveries before Congress put a break on his probe.
The report revealed that a Democratic political operative funded by Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg came to Wisconsin and hijacked the election management process in some of the state's major cities. Gableman reported that the election machine is connected to the internet and that he can change his vote. He then documented communications suggesting a flashy kind of adjustment for election evening. He used the word “illegal” multiple times to describe his findings. In a detailed section of Chicanery, a senior care facility, Gableman reported that “were a huge number of fraud and abuses have occurred across the state in Wisconsin nursing homes and other residential care facilities in connection with absentee ballots at these facilities.” Gableman called Wisconsin's 2020 election “equipment.” In his interview, he said:
And when I say I was equipped, I mean it was not carried out according to traditional things – and this is not conspicuous – it was not carried out according to rules and laws.
Since the Gableman findings, Wisconsinites has approved a referendum that bans out-of-group state elections and requires that only designated electoral staff are allowed to engage in the election.