Climate fanatics at the EU's Copernicus Climate Change Agency (C3S) have announced that 2024 is “virtually certain” to be the hottest year on record. This comes just one year after the same government agency declared 2023 to be the hottest year on record. Last year, the same organization reported that 2023 will be the warmest year on Earth in 125,000 years.
exceed the limit
C3S claims that 2024 will be the first year in which global average temperatures exceed the pre-industrial limit of 1.5°C set by the Paris Climate Agreement.
“With one month left in the year, it is virtually certain that 2024 will be warmer than 2023, thus making it the warmest year on record for the calendar year,” the C3S report on surface temperatures for November said. It is written.
According to the latest monthly update from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), November 2024 was the second warmest November in the world in the ERA5 reanalysis dataset. This data almost guarantees that 2024 will be the warmest year on record, with global average temperatures exceeding the Paris Agreement's limit of 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial average. Around Antarctica, the extent of sea ice in November was the lowest on record.
According to C3S, last November was “the 16th month in the past 17 months in which average global temperatures rose by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.”
C3S Deputy Director Samantha Burgess said in a statement:
Copernicus data from the penultimate month of this year almost certainly confirms that 2024 will be the warmest year on record and the first in the calendar year to exceed 1.5°C. This does not mean we have violated the Paris Agreement, but it does mean that ambitious climate action is more urgent than ever.
The agency warned that several weather and climate anomalies are linked to the expected record warmth, including below-average precipitation in Western and Central Europe. Above-average rainfall in parts of Iceland, the UK, Greece, the Balkans and much of Eastern Europe. Antarctica's sea ice extent is at a record low. Several typhoons occur in the Western Pacific.
Climate change realists disagree
Not all climate experts agree with the C3S assessment.
“The Copernicus Climate Change Service has always been wrong and will continue to be wrong because it generates temperature outputs using aggregated data fed through flawed climate models.” , said Dr. H. Sterling Barnett of the Arthur B. Robinson Center for Climate and Environment. Heartland Institute policy told The New American:
Although we don't have temperature measurements for much of human history, much less Earth's history, the proxy data we do have strongly suggest that temperatures were warmer than they are today for long periods during the Holocene. and their periods correspond to it. In times of civilizational prosperity and beneficial for human food production, productivity, exploration, and health.
C3S's “hottest year” claim is thanks to their “reanalysis” tool. What exactly is reanalysis?
According to the Copernicus Climate Change Service, the reanalysis “combines historical observations and models to produce a consistent time series of multiple climate variables.” Their claims therefore have little to do with the Earth's actual temperature and more to do with how their computers analyze data entered by climate-crazy scientists.
C3S openly admits that their dataset only goes back to 1940. That data is then reanalyzed through climate models to yield readings acceptable to C3S. Therefore, their claim of the “hottest year on record” should be viewed through a highly skeptical lens.
